On Monday, a second-round match of the CAFA Nations Cup will occur in Dushanbe, where Afghanistan will take on the host team, Tajikistan. Here’s a look at this matchup and why Tajikistan is considered the favorite.
Match Preview
Afghanistan is struggling, having lost their last seven matches. In the opening round, they fell to Iran 1-3, adding to earlier defeats by Syria and Myanmar. The team’s defense has been shaky, and they’ve only scored three goals in their last five games.
On the plus side, there are no reported injuries. However, the team’s morale seems low, and they are expected to focus on counterattacks, hoping for limited goal-scoring opportunities.
Tajikistan is in a better frame of mind, despite losing 1-2 to India in their first match. The team has managed to win two of their last five games and appears more stable than Afghanistan. A draw against the Philippines and a win over Cambodia indicate their scoring potential, although they still need to improve on finishing their chances.
Historically, Tajikistan has never lost to Afghanistan, winning three of their previous encounters. The hosts are looking to exploit their opponents’ weaknesses and regain their position in the group. Although their roster may not feature star players, the team is cohesive and prepared for the challenge.
Probable Lineups
- Afghanistan: Hamidi, Mansor, Arezou, Hamayuni, Ahadi, Nazari, Akbari, Rahimi, Kuhiyaar, Skandari, Musavi
- Tajikistan: Khasanov, Safarov, Karomatullozoda, Juraboev, Nazarov, Shukurov, Jalilov, Boboev, Panjshanbe, Mabatshoev, Samiev
Match Facts and Head-to-Head
- Afghanistan has lost the last seven matches.
- Tajikistan has won three out of four matches against Afghanistan.
- In their last meeting in November 2024, Tajikistan won 3-1.
Prediction
Afghanistan continues to face challenges with no improvement in sight, while Tajikistan appears more organized and driven. Given the head-to-head history, a good bet would be on “Tajikistan to win with a -1.0 handicap” at odds of 1.66.
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