The first day of the Australian Open looks exciting, featuring 16 men’s first-round matches at Melbourne Park. We will provide predictions for every match, including Alexander Bublik vs Jenson Brooksby, Alexander Zverev vs Gabriel Diallo, and Frances Tiafoe vs Jason Kubler. Who will make it to the second round?
Australian Open Day 1 Predictions
Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Warton
With Juan Carlos Ferrero not coaching him, Carlos Alcaraz’s first match raises questions about his nerves. However, his experience as a six-time Grand Slam champion should help him in this straightforward opener.
Prediction: Alcaraz in 3
As the world #1, Alcaraz is expected to perform well. Adam Warton hasn’t won a main draw match this year and lacks the tools to challenge Alcaraz. It’s unlikely this match will go beyond three sets.
Prediction: Alcaraz in 3
Alcaraz aims for a career Grand Slam against Adam Walton. While Walton can be tricky with his serve and forehand on fast courts, Alcaraz’s recent strong form suggests he will win easily.
Prediction: Alcaraz in 3
Corentin Moutet vs Tristan Schoolkate
Corentin Moutet has been dealing with fitness issues, having pulled out from both warm-up events before this tournament. Tristan Schoolkate has a great opportunity to advance if Moutet isn’t fully fit.
Prediction: Schoolkate in 4
This match could get intense. Moutet, known for his temper, must manage the home crowd’s energy. Although Moutet is favored to win, it could be a close match.
Prediction: Moutet in 5
Schoolkate performed well against Sinner at last year’s Australian Open. While Moutet excels at variety, it may not be enough to cause an upset.
Prediction: Moutet in 4
Marton Fucsovics vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is still looking for his first win of 2026, while Marton Fucsovics secured a win last week in Adelaide. Fucsovics generally performs better on hard courts, which should benefit him here.
Prediction: Fucsovics in 4
Fucsovics is expected to take an aggressive approach in this match. Carabelli is more comfortable on clay, making this first-round matchup favorable for Fucsovics.
Prediction: Fucsovics in 4
Fucsovics’s main challenge has been staying healthy, but when fit, his game is solid. In contrast, Carabelli has struggled to secure hard-court wins, giving Fucsovics the edge.
Prediction: Fucsovics in 4
Jaime Faria vs Alexander Blockx
After retiring in the third round of qualifying, Alexander Blockx has made it into the main draw as a lucky loser. His fitness is uncertain as he faces Jaime Faria, who is in good form.
Prediction: Blockx in 5
Blockx’s retirement raises questions about his readiness for this match, which could allow Faria to capitalize on any shortcomings.
Prediction: Faria in 3
Both players are in a unique situation, but Faria might have the advantage against a possibly unfit Blockx. However, if Blockx is healthy, he could win due to his higher skill level.
Prediction: Blockx in 4
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