On September 14, 2025, Atalanta will play Lecce in the third round of Italy’s Serie A. The match will start at 15:00 Central European Time. Here’s a look at the scoring potential for Atalanta in this game.
Atalanta
After a strong season where they finished third and secured a Champions League spot, Atalanta hopes to continue their success this year. However, they are still looking for their first win after two matches. They drew 1-1 against newly-promoted Pisa at home and repeated the score away at Parma. Currently, Atalanta is in 11th place.
The team’s home form has not been encouraging, as they have not won their last two games at home, including some from the previous season. Their past encounters with Lecce have also been challenging; in the last five meetings in Bergamo, Atalanta won two, drew two, and lost one. Both teams scored in three of those matches.
Lecce
Lecce struggled last season, only securing their spot in Serie A towards the end. Key wins against Torino and Lazio helped them stay up, but their attack was weak, with only 27 goals scored—the lowest in the league.
This season has been tough for Lecce as well. They had a 2-0 win in the Coppa Italia against Juve Stabia, but have not won in the league yet. Their first game against Genoa ended in a goalless draw, and they lost 0-2 at home to AC Milan. They are currently 17th in the table with just one point and have not scored a league goal yet.
Meetings with Atalanta have been particularly difficult for Lecce, as they have not won in their last four encounters, recording three losses and one draw while conceding in every match.
Probable lineups
- Atalanta: Carnesecchi, Scalvini, Hien, Djimsiti, Bellanova, de Roon, Zalewski, Pasalic, de Ketelaere, Sulemana, Krstovic.
- Lecce: Falcone, Danilo Veiga, Thiago Gabriel, Gaspar, Gallo, Berisha, Koulibaly, Ramadani, Pierotti, Camarda, Tete.
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- Atalanta is winless in their last 5 matches.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Atalanta’s last 10 matches.
- Lecce has not lost in 8 of their last 10 games.
- 4 of Lecce’s last 5 matches had fewer than 2.5 goals.
- Atalanta has won 3 of their last 4 encounters with Lecce.
Atalanta vs Lecce match prediction
Atalanta enters the match as favorites, eager to secure their first win of the season, especially at home. Lecce, on the other hand, is struggling and has not scored yet this season. Given that Atalanta has needed more than one goal to win in past meetings, they are likely to push offensively to secure a solid win. My prediction for this match is Atalanta to score over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.54.