Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Match Prediction , Preview, Lineups, H2h for September 25, 2025

On September 24, 2025, Atletico Madrid will play against Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga match. The game will kick off at 21:30 Central European Time. Here’s a look at the teams and what to expect.

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid is not in great form coming into this match. They have secured only one win this season, which was at home against Villarreal. The team has drawn three games, each ending 1-1, and lost two matches—1-2 to Espanyol and 2-3 to Liverpool. They have struggled defensively, conceding goals in every match except their only victory.

Currently, Atletico Madrid is in 12th place with six points. However, they remain unbeaten at home this season, with one win and one draw, extending their unbeaten home run to six matches. Historically, Atletico has dominated Rayo Vallecano at home, with their last defeat to them occurring in 2001, and only one draw in their subsequent meetings.

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano has also had a rocky start to the season. They began with a solid 3-1 away win over Girona and made it through the Conference League qualifiers by eliminating Neman from Belarus. However, their La Liga performance has been less impressive, with no wins in their last four league matches, including losses to Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, along with draws against Celta and Barcelona. They are currently 14th in the league with five points.

Rayo Vallecano’s recent encounters with Atletico have not been favorable, as they have lost four out of the last five matches between the two teams, with only one draw.

Probable lineups

• Atletico Madrid: Oblak, Llorente, Le Normand, Lenglet, Gantzko, Simeone, Barrios, Koke, Gonzalez, Raspadori, Alvarez.
• Rayo Vallecano: Batalla, Pacha, Ratiu, Lejeune, Siss, De Frutos, Diaz, Valentin, Garcia, Palazon, Camello.

Key stats and head-to-head facts

• Atletico has not won 5 of their last 6 matches.
• 8 of Atletico’s last 10 matches have had under 2.5 goals.
• Both teams have scored in 5 of Atletico’s last 6 matches.
• Rayo Vallecano is unbeaten in 7 of their last 9 matches.
• 5 of Rayo’s last 6 matches have had under 2.5 goals.
• Atletico is unbeaten in their last 10 meetings with Rayo.
• Both teams have scored in 3 of their last 4 encounters.

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match prediction

Both teams have struggled at the start of the season, but Atletico Madrid has strong home performance, with an unbeaten streak of six matches. Their historical dominance over Rayo Vallecano might give them confidence. Expect Atletico to focus and aim for a home win. The prediction is an Atletico victory, with odds of 1.55.