(Prediction) Bahia and Fluminense will face each other in the first leg of the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil. With the advantage of playing at home and a better form, Bahia is expected to secure a win to create an edge before the return leg.
5:30 PM IST, August 29, 2025, Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals
Prediction: Bahia vs Fluminense
The Copa do Brasil, also known as the Brazilian National Cup, is one of the most prestigious tournaments in Brazil, organized annually by the Brazilian Football Confederation (CBF). With a history spanning over 30 years since its inception in 1989, the tournament features 92 teams from across Brazil, including those from Serie A, B, C, and D, as well as state champions. The Copa do Brasil is now entering an exciting phase with four quarter-final matchups confirmed, including the notable clash between Bahia and Fluminense.
In this quarter-final first leg, Bahia is anticipated to claim victory given their stronger performance and home advantage. Bahia recently enjoyed a convincing 2-0 win over Santos in the 21st round of the Brazilian Championship, marking their fifth consecutive unbeaten match in the league, and eighth in all competitions. Currently, Bahia is ranked in the top 4 of the league with 36 points after 19 matches, putting them in position for continental competition next season.
On the other hand, Fluminense suffered a 2-4 defeat against Bragantino in their last match. This loss has put them in a difficult spot in the rankings, currently holding 27 points and placed ninth, which is 15 points behind the home team and five places lower in the national league.
While Bahia is undefeated in their last eight matches across all competitions, Fluminense has suffered four losses in their last eight games, indicating a marked difference in form. Besides their impressive streak, Bahia enjoys a significant home advantage; they are one of the three teams with the best home records in the league, having not lost at home this season. Conversely, Fluminense has struggled on the road, winning only two of their last five away matches, while the rest ended in draws and losses.
Historically, Bahia has performed well against Fluminense, with three wins and one draw in their last four home encounters. These factors set Bahia as the favorites for this match, leading to predictions of a home victory to gain an edge for the return leg.
Bahia vs Fluminense Prediction
- Goal Predictions for Bahia vs Fluminense
Bahia has scored in four of their last five matches, netting a total of eight goals, averaging about two goals per game. Their defense has been solid, having kept clean sheets in two of the last five matches. In contrast, Fluminense has scored in all five of their recent games, with four out of five yielding at least two goals. However, their defense has leaked goals in four out of five matches, with two games conceding three or more goals.
Given the attacking prowess of both teams, this match is likely to be a goal-fest, with each of the last five encounters yielding more than two goals. The most recent face-off saw six total goals, suggesting that over two goals for both sides is a plausible outcome for this match.
- Corner Kick Predictions for Bahia vs Fluminense
Bahia has recorded over seven corner kicks in each of their last five matches. In these encounters, they have typically earned more corners, with a high of 11 in one game.
Fluminense has also seen over seven corner situations in their recent five matches, frequently earning more corners per game, again reaching a maximum of 11 corners. Past encounters between these teams consistently resulted in over seven corners, reinforcing the expectation for a similar outcome in this match.
- Card Predictions for Bahia vs Fluminense
In their last five matches, Bahia has received 15 yellow cards, averaging three per game. Fluminense has accumulated nine yellow cards and one red card in their recent matches, averaging two card infractions per game. All five recent matchups between these sides ended with over three cards, including instances of red cards. Given the intense nature of this quarter-final, a fierce game is expected, with projections of more than three yellow cards shown.
Score Predictions for Bahia vs Fluminense
Team News for Bahia vs Fluminense
- Bahia: Full squad available.
- Fluminense: Full squad available.
Expected Line-ups for Bahia vs Fluminense
- Bahia: Felipe, Santiago, Kanu, Cuesta, Juba, Rezende, Alexandre, Lucas, Thaciano, Estupinan, Everton.
- Fluminense: Fabio, Xavier, Manoel, Martinelli, Barbosa, Trindade, Lima, Arias, Marquinhos, Ganso, German.
Form and Head-to-Head Record: Bahia vs Fluminense
- Bahia Form: In their last five matches, Bahia won three, drew two, scoring eight goals and conceding five.
- Fluminense Form: In their last five matches, Fluminense won three, drew one, lost one, scoring eleven goals and conceding nine.
- Head-to-Head Record: In the last five encounters, Bahia has won two, drawn one, and lost two against Fluminense.
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