Benfica vs Qarabag FK: Prediction Preview, Lineups, H2h for September 17, 2025

On Tuesday, Benfica will face Qarabag in the opening match of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League group stage at the Estádio da Luz in Lisbon. Here’s a betting tip for the expected outcome of this match.

Match preview

Benfica is making its fifth consecutive appearance in the Champions League group stage. Under coach Bruno Lage, they successfully navigated two tough qualifying rounds, showcasing their status as one of Portugal’s leading teams. Last season, they reached the round of 16, highlighting their ability to compete at high levels.

However, Benfica has struggled at home in the Champions League, failing to win five of their last seven matches at the Estádio da Luz. Their attacking play has been inconsistent, rarely scoring more than two goals. Still, facing Qarabag presents a good opportunity for the hosts, thanks to their strong midfield and creative forwards.

For Qarabag, reaching the Champions League group stage is a significant achievement. Under Gurban Gurbanov, they advanced through three qualifying rounds, demonstrating effective and strategic football. Notably, they have won five of their last six away games in the Champions League, boosting their confidence.

The challenge in the group stage, however, is much higher than in the qualifiers. Last season in the Europa League, Qarabag struggled and lost all seven of their group matches. Nonetheless, they have been scoring frequently, with six consecutive matches featuring multiple goals. Their defense may be a concern against Benfica’s attacking strength.

Probable lineups

• Benfica: Trubin, A. Silva, Dahl, Otamendi, Araujo, Rios, Barrenetxea, Florentino, Eursnes, Pavlidis, Akturkoglu
• Qarabag: Kochalski, Mustafazade, Medina, M. Silva, Jafarguliyev, Zoubir, Kady, Andrade, Bicalho, Jankovic, Akhundzade

Match facts and head-to-head

• Benfica has scored first in seven of their last ten Champions League matches.
• Qarabag has played 12 Champions League matches without a draw.
• This will be the first official encounter between these teams in European competitions.

Prediction

Benfica is the clear favorite, with their experience and quality likely giving them the edge. They are expected to attack and take control of the game, although Qarabag could also score. Overall, the difference in quality suggests that the hosts will earn all three points.