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In a crucial match of the final round of the South American qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup, Bolivia will face Brazil on Wednesday at the Estadio Municipal in El Alto. While Brazil has already secured their place in the tournament, Bolivia is still hoping for a playoff spot. There’s strong potential for a successful outcome based on Bolivia’s strong home performance.

Match preview

For Bolivia, winning is essential, along with a mistake from Venezuela for a chance at playoffs. The team has faced challenges lately, losing five of their last eight matches and suffering a 0-3 defeat to Colombia recently. However, Bolivia has been impressive at home, remaining unbeaten in their last six home qualifiers and letting in just one goal during this period.

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The high altitude of El Alto presents a challenge for visiting teams, and Brazil has struggled here in the past. Bolivia has achieved four wins and two draws in their last six home qualifying matches. The hosts will be highly motivated, and with a solid defense, they have a good chance against a Brazil side that may not be as focused.

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Brazil, managed by Carlo Ancelotti, has improved in recent games, securing clean sheets in their September matches, including a 3-0 victory over Chile. They have confirmed second place and their spot for the 2026 World Cup. However, they have had difficulty winning in El Alto, with only one win in their last six official visits.

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The away qualifiers for Brazil have not been high-scoring, with only one goal in seven of their last eight matches. Ancelotti might rotate the squad to rest key players, which could improve Bolivia’s chances, especially given the pressures of this match.

Probable lineups

  • Bolivia: Lampe, Akin, Sagredo, Medina, Fernandez, Morales, Villamil, Terceros, Mateus, Vaca, Paniagua
  • Brazil: Alisson, Marquinhos, Magalhães, Santos, França, Guimarães, Casemiro, Raphinha, Martinelli, Estevão, Jesus

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Bolivia is unbeaten in their last six home qualifying matches.
  • Brazil has won only one of their last seven away qualifiers.
  • Bolivia has kept a clean sheet in five of their last six home matches.
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Prediction

With Brazil under little pressure and Bolivia striving for the final playoff spot, the altitude of El Alto combined with the hosts’ motivation makes them a tough opponent. Given these factors, betting on Bolivia at least avoiding defeat seems sensible.


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