Bulgaria vs Spain: Match Prediction and Betting Insights for September 5, 2025

This Thursday, a World Cup qualifying match will occur at the Vasil Levski Stadium in Sofia, where Bulgaria will face Spain. Here’s a betting tip for this matchup with promising odds.

Match preview

Bulgaria hasn’t achieved significant results in international competitions, but they typically perform well at home. In their last nine home World Cup qualifiers, Bulgaria secured six victories, with two of their three losses against strong teams like France and Italy. The team defends well, allowing no more than one goal in nine of their last thirteen home qualifiers.

The coach emphasizes midfield play, prioritizing ball control and a well-organized central line. Notably, Bulgaria has scored during regular time in seven of their last nine home qualifiers, showcasing their attacking ability even against tough rivals. Despite a lack of overall success, they are tough to beat on home turf.

Spain is again a favorite in the qualifiers, backed by strong statistics. They have won 14 of their last 16 World Cup qualifiers, demonstrating consistency and confidence. The team manages away games effectively, winning seven of their last eight away qualifiers in regular time.

However, Spain seldom wins by large margins; most matches result in a one- or two-goal difference. In ten of their last eleven away qualifiers, Spain has scored just one or two goals, reflecting a strategy that values control over ambition. This approach could be important against a motivated home team.

Probable lineups

• Bulgaria: Mitov, Nurnberger, Nedyalkov, Petrov, Minkov, Gruev, Chochev, Petkov, Milanov, Despodov, Kolev
• Spain: Simon, Porro, Le Normand, Cubarsi, Cucurella, Pedri, Zubimendi, Rodri, Yamal, Oyarzabal, Williams

Match facts and head-to-head

• Bulgaria has not lost by more than two goals at home in World Cup qualifying since 2005.
• Spain has won 7 of their last 8 away matches in World Cup qualifying.
• Bulgaria has scored in regular time in 7 of their last 9 home qualifiers.

Prediction

Both teams have different goals: Bulgaria seeks to earn points at home, while Spain aims for a win to start their qualifying campaign. Given Bulgaria’s strong performance at home and Spain’s usual low-scoring away matches, a smart bet is that Bulgaria will not lose by more than two goals. Our pick: “Bulgaria to win with a +2.5 handicap” at odds of 1.75.