On 14 September 2025, Burnley will face Liverpool in the 4th round of the English Premier League, kicking off at 15:00 Central European Time. Here’s a look at the potential outcome of this match.
Burnley
Burnley is back in the Premier League after a year away, but adapting to the top league has been challenging. They began the season with a tough 0-3 loss to Tottenham, followed by a home win against Sunderland, another promoted team. However, their next match ended in a 2-3 defeat to Manchester United. After three matches, Burnley has earned only 3 points and is currently in 14th place.
Burnley managed to move past Derby County in the EFL Cup with a 2-1 win, advancing to face Cardiff in the next round. At home, Burnley has a solid record, having won their last six matches at Turf Moor, including games from the last season in the Championship. However, their past performance against Liverpool at home is less favorable, with Burnley losing all six of their recent home games against the Reds.
Liverpool
Liverpool, the defending champions, have started the new season strong and show clear title ambitions. The club made significant signings during the off-season to enhance their squad. Even though they lost to Crystal Palace in the Super Cup on penalties, Liverpool has been consistent and high-scoring in the league.
The team secured three consecutive wins at the start of the season, topping the league table. They won their opening game 4-2 against Bournemouth, pulled off a dramatic 3-2 win over Newcastle, and edged past Arsenal 1-0 before the international break. Liverpool is in great form as they prepare to face Burnley.
Head-to-head statistics favor Liverpool, who have won 8 out of their last 10 matches against Burnley, with only 1 loss and 1 draw.
Probable lineups
- Burnley: Dubravka, Hartman, Ekdal, Esteve, Walker, Cullen, Ugochukwu, Mejbri, Anthony, Bruun Larsen, Foster.
- Liverpool: Alisson, Jones, Konaté, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Gravenberch, Szoboszlai, Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo, Ekitike.
Key facts and head-to-head
- Burnley has won 6 of their last 7 home matches.
- Three of Burnley’s last 4 matches have had over 2.5 goals.
- Liverpool has won 6 of their last 7 matches.
- Liverpool has won 3 of their last 4 away matches.
- 9 of Liverpool’s last 10 matches have featured over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Liverpool’s last 8 games.
- Liverpool has won their last 5 encounters with Burnley.
- Liverpool has also won their last 5 away games against Burnley.
Burnley vs Liverpool prediction
Liverpool enters this match as clear favorites. They are unbeaten in their three league matches so far, playing with confidence. Their strong record against Burnley further supports their position as favorites. Based on the current form of the reigning champions and their successful history against this opponent, a Liverpool win seems likely. A prediction for this match is a Liverpool victory with a -1 handicap at odds of 1.52.

