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On September 12, 2025, the Dallas Wings will play against the Phoenix Mercury at the College Park Center in Arlington. This matchup is part of the WNBA regular season, and we will focus on the teams’ scoring abilities.

Dallas Wings

The Dallas Wings are struggling as they approach the end of the season. They’ve lost their last ten games and sit last in the standings with only 9 wins and 34 losses. Their defense has been weak, allowing an average of 88.3 points per game, while their offense ranks ninth in the league with an average of 81.3 points.

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Recently, the Wings lost to the Los Angeles Sparks 77-91 and the Golden State Valkyries 80-84. Paige Bueckers is the standout player, averaging 19.1 points and 5.3 assists per game.

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Despite their struggles, the Wings have done well at home against Phoenix. In their last five matchups, they’ve won three and lost two, including a recent victory of 98-89 over Phoenix.

Phoenix Mercury

The Phoenix Mercury have faced two consecutive losses, losing 84-87 to Connecticut and 83-88 to the Los Angeles Sparks, but they still hold a strong position in the league. Currently, they are fourth in the standings with 27 wins and 16 losses, having already secured a playoff spot.

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Offensively, Phoenix ranks seventh in the league, averaging 83 points per game. Their defense is strong, ranking fourth by allowing just 79.7 points per game. Key players include Satou Sabally, with an average of 16.4 points, and Alysha Thomas, who contributes 9 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game.

In recent matchups against the Wings, Phoenix has been successful, winning four of the last five games.

Interesting facts and head-to-head record

  • The Dallas Wings have lost 15 of their last 16 games.
  • The Dallas Wings have lost 10 of their last 11 home games.
  • Phoenix Mercury have won 5 of the last 6 matchups against Dallas.
  • The last 7 meetings have all gone over 163.5 total points.
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Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury prediction

The Dallas Wings are ending the season poorly after a disappointing year. Meanwhile, the Phoenix Mercury, despite their recent losses, are free to play without pressure after securing a playoff position. Given their historical matchups, which often feature high scores, we can expect a high-scoring game with plenty of points. I predict over 163 total points at odds of 1.79.


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