Italy vs Estonia: Predictions and Betting Tips for September 6, 2025

The 5th round of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers features a match on Friday at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, where Italy will face Estonia. Here’s a look at the possible outcome of this game.

Match preview

Italy recently ended a disappointing run by beating Moldova 2-0. Before this victory, they had gone four matches without a win and did not score in three games. This win is important for team morale, especially following the recent change in coaching as Gennaro Gattuso has taken over from Spalletti.

Italy is still a strong contender in the group, but they need to keep earning points to ensure direct qualification for the World Cup. The team typically performs well at home, often preventing opponents from scoring, but their attack has been inconsistent. Under Gattuso’s leadership, fans can expect focused and disciplined play, with an emphasis on ball control and defense.

Estonia has faced challenges in this qualifying round, losing three out of four matches. In their last game, they lost 0-1 to Norway, but they put up a good fight to avoid a larger defeat. Estonia tends to play defensively, aiming to limit the scoring chances of their opponents.

Even with their struggles, Estonia often finds opportunities to score, particularly in away matches, making them a potentially tough opponent. However, against a well-structured Italian team, even a draw would be difficult due to the significant difference in skill level.

Probable line-ups

• Italy: Donnarumma, Bastoni, Calafiori, Di Lorenzo, Dimarco, Barella, Rovella, Tonali, Frattesi, Raspadori, Retegui
• Estonia: Hein, Schöning-Larsen, Paskotsi, Kuusk, Tamm, Sumets, Shein, Vassiljev, Käit, Anier, Sappinen

Match facts and head-to-head

• Italy has kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 7 World Cup qualifying matches.
• Estonia has lost 4 of their last 5 away games in World Cup qualification.
• Italy has won the last 3 head-to-head matches by more than one goal.

Prediction

Italy should manage to win against Estonia, especially at home. While the visitors can defend well, their chances against Italy’s organized play are slim. A modest win for the hosts seems likely.