Italy vs. Spain: Predictions and Betting Tips for September 3, 2025

Italy and Spain will face each other in the fourth round of the EuroBasket group stage. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, September 2, at 20:30 Central European Time in Limassol. I am placing a bet on the total points for this game.

Match Preview

Italy comes into EuroBasket with a strong team led by Simone Fontecchio, a forward for the Detroit Pistons. His scoring is crucial for Italy. Veteran Nicolo Melli adds valuable experience and calmness in key moments.

Italy’s strategy focuses on quick ball movement and strong three-point shooting. They play at a fast pace, relying on the speed and energy of their backcourt.

However, Italy does have weaknesses. A significant concern is the limited depth among their big men, which could be problematic against stronger teams. Additionally, inconsistent outside shooting can lead to extended scoring droughts.

Italy started the tournament with a loss to Greece, struggling to manage Giannis. They bounced back with victories over Georgia and Bosnia, improving their playoff prospects.

Spain remains a top contender in the tournament even with recent changes to their lineup. The Hernangomez brothers continue to play important roles, while new talents like Santi Aldama from the Memphis Grizzlies are emerging.

Spain’s strength lies in their organization. They manage the game’s pace effectively and leverage their deep roster to maintain quality throughout the match.

Despite the demanding EuroBasket schedule, their coaching staff can make substitutions without losing performance level. After a surprising loss to Georgia, Spain comfortably defeated Bosnia and Cyprus.

Match Facts

• Italy has won two of their last five games.
• Spain has won only two of their last seven matches.
• Italy averages 80 points per game, while Spain averages 83 points per game.

Players to Watch

Look out for Guillermo Hernangomez from Spain, who plays center for Barcelona. He performed well against Bosnia and Cyprus and is averaging over 14 points per game in this tournament.

Head-to-Head

• Italy has won the last two meetings against Spain.
• Spain hasn’t defeated Italy in regulation since 2019.

Prediction

Both teams possess strong offensive capabilities that suggest a high-scoring game. Italy will aim for perimeter shots, while Spain will utilize their big players and seek midrange chances. Defensive strategies often struggle with the fast pace of EuroBasket. My prediction: total over 151.5 points.