Lithuania vs Sweden: Predictions and Betting Tips for September 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Lithuania and Sweden will meet in the group stage of EuroBasket. Here’s a look at the upcoming match and what to expect in terms of team scoring.

Lithuania

The Lithuanian national team is currently 6th in Europe and 10th globally. Their last EuroBasket win was in 2003. In the previous tournament, Lithuania got through the group stage but lost to Spain in the Round of 16, ending their run early.

In EuroBasket 2025, Lithuania started strong, defeating Great Britain 94-70 and Montenegro 94-67. However, they faced a tough loss against Germany, losing 88-107. In their latest match against Finland, they secured an 81-78 victory, positioning themselves as strong contenders for second place in the group—if they win this upcoming match. Unfortunately, they will be without their key player, Rokas Jokubaitis, due to injury, complicating their playoff chances.

Historically, Lithuania has a successful track record against Sweden, having won all three previous encounters and scoring 95 points or more each time.

Sweden

Sweden’s national team ranks 25th in Europe and 49th in the world. They did not participate in EuroBasket 2022, and their 2025 campaign has been challenging. They narrowly lost to Finland in their first game, 90-93, with Ludde Hakanson scoring 28 points. Against Germany, Sweden faced a significant defeat, losing 83-105. They finally achieved their first win against Great Britain with a score of 78-59.

In their latest match, which was crucial for fourth place against Montenegro, Sweden held a five-point lead in the fourth quarter but ultimately lost 81-87, with Pelle Larsson contributing 28 points.

Sweden’s chances of moving forward are slim, as they will now face Lithuania, a team they have never beaten, while Montenegro plays against Great Britain, putting Sweden in a difficult position.

Key facts and head-to-head stats

• Lithuania has won 13 of their last 15 games.
• Sweden has lost 7 of their last 8 games.
• Lithuania has won the last 3 matchups.
• 4 of Sweden’s last 5 games have gone over 167.5 total points.

Prediction for Lithuania vs Sweden

Lithuania enters this game as the favorite. Despite the absence of Rokas Jokubaitis, they need a win to secure second place in their group. Sweden is in a tough situation but will fight hard, so expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. I predict total points to exceed 164.5 at odds of 1.61.