Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans: Match Prediction Preview, Lineups, H2h for October 12, 2025

On October 12, 2025, the John Cain Arena in Melbourne will host a round 4 match of the Australian NBL, featuring Melbourne United against the Cairns Taipans. Here’s a look at the key details of this matchup.

Melbourne United

Last season, Melbourne United performed well, finishing second in the regular season and advancing through the semifinals by defeating Perth 2-1. However, they lost in the final to the Illawarra Hawks, marking their fourth season without a championship title; their last win was during the 2020–2021 season.

This season, Melbourne has started strong, winning all four of their opening games—two at home against the New Zealand Breakers (114-82) and South East Melbourne (103-83), and two on the road against the Tasmania JackJumpers (88-84) and the Sydney Kings (107-93). They also faced NBA team the New Orleans Pelicans in a preseason friendly, losing 97-107. Currently, Melbourne United leads the NBL standings.

When playing at home against Cairns Taipans, Melbourne has a favorable record, winning four of their last six matchups. Their previous preseason meeting saw Melbourne dominate Cairns with a 116-91 victory.

Cairns Taipans

Last season was challenging for Cairns Taipans, as they finished last in the league, securing only eight wins from twenty-nine games.

This season began poorly for them, losing heavily to South East Melbourne, 77-114. However, they quickly recovered with two wins—first at home against the Brisbane Bullets (83-82), followed by an upset victory over the Sydney Kings (77-74). Unfortunately, their winning streak ended with a heavy loss to Adelaide (79-110), followed by a narrow defeat to Perth (77-80). After five games, Cairns stands sixth in the table with a 2-3 record.

Historically, matches against Melbourne have been tough for Cairns. In their last five encounters, Melbourne has won four times.

Key facts and head-to-head

• Melbourne United has won 5 of their last 6 matches.
• Melbourne United has won 7 of their last 9 home games.
• Cairns Taipans have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches.
• Melbourne United has won 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Prediction for Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans

Melbourne United comes into this match in excellent form with a perfect record and solid performance on both ends of the court. In contrast, Cairns Taipans have been inconsistent, winning only two of their first five games. The historical record also favors Melbourne. It is expected that Melbourne United will maintain their status as favorites and secure a comfortable home victory. For this match, the suggested pick is Melbourne United with a -10 handicap at odds of 1.65.