Netherlands vs Poland: Match Prediction and Betting Tips for September 5, 2025

On September 4, 2025, the Netherlands will meet Poland in the European qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. The match will start at 20:45 Central European Time. Here’s an overview of the matchup.

Netherlands

The Dutch national team is leading their group and has performed well so far. They began the qualifying rounds strong, winning against Finland 2-0 and Malta 8-0. Although they are currently in second place, they have games to play that could shift the standings.

The team’s schedule is impacted by their involvement in the Nations League, where they reached the quarterfinals, losing to Spain in a penalty shootout. Overall, their qualifying campaign has been solid, finishing second in their group with only one loss to Germany.

In recent encounters with Poland at home, the Netherlands has a good record: two wins and one draw in their last three matches. Two of these games were high-scoring, with over 3.5 goals scored, and both teams scored in each match.

Poland

Poland entered this qualifying campaign with some challenges, having finished last in their Nations League group and facing relegation to League B.

However, their start in the World Cup qualifiers has been decent. They secured wins against lower-ranked teams Lithuania (1-0) and Malta (2-0). Unfortunately, they lost 1-2 to Finland, putting them in third place in their group with six points, while they still have a game to play against Finland, who are vying for second place.

Historically, Poland has struggled against the Netherlands, with no wins in their last 12 matches. Their last victory was in 1979. In their most recent seven meetings, the Netherlands won six and the teams drew once. These matches tend to be high-scoring, with five of the last seven exceeding 2.5 goals and both teams frequently scoring.

Probable lineups

• Netherlands: Flekken, Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Van de Ven, Gravenberch, Reijnders, De Jong, Simons, Depay, Gakpo.
• Poland: Skorupski, Kedziora, Bednarek, Kiwior, Cash, Zalewski, Frankowski, Slisz, Piotrowski, Lewandowski, Piatek.

Interesting facts and head-to-head stats

• The Netherlands have not lost in 9 of their last 10 matches.
• Three of the Netherlands’ last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
• Poland won three of their last four matches.
• Poland lost three of their last four away games.
• The Netherlands won five of the last six meetings against Poland.
• Three of the last four encounters had over 2.5 goals.
• Both teams scored in three of the last four matches between them.

Prediction for Netherlands vs Poland

The Netherlands are the clear favorites in this match. Playing at home, they usually perform well and have a strong advantage in their past meetings. Poland has shown inconsistency since their Nations League performance, securing wins only against weaker teams while struggling against stronger opponents. Given these factors, the Netherlands are likely to win. My prediction for the match: Netherlands to win with a -1.5 handicap at odds of 1.86.