Tajikistan vs Iran: Match Prediction and Betting Tips for September 4, 2025

This Thursday in Dushanbe, Tajikistan will face Iran in a crucial match of the third round of the CAFA Nations Cup group stage. The game is expected to feature some goals.

Match preview

Tajikistan started their home tournament poorly, losing 1-2 to India in their first match. They fell behind early, conceding twice by the 13th minute. Samiev managed to score in the 23rd minute, giving them some hope, but they missed a penalty in the 73rd minute.

In their second game, Tajikistan narrowly defeated Afghanistan. They scored a penalty in the first half and added another goal in stoppage time through Mabatshoev. Now, they will face Iran, a team against whom they have struggled historically. Along with local support, they will need some luck.

The Iranian national team continues to shine in Asian football, showcasing strong and effective play. They topped Group A in World Cup qualifying, finishing ahead of Uzbekistan.

In the Central Asian Cup, Iran has shown their intent to win. They opened with a solid 3-1 victory against Afghanistan and followed it up with a 3-0 win over India. They’ve been dominant, controlling possession and the pace of the games.

Probable lineups

• Tajikistan: Khasanov, Safarov, Karomatullozoda, Juraboev, Nazarov, Shukurov, Jalilov, Boboev, Panjshanbe, Mabatshoev, Samiev
• Iran: Beiranvand; Hardani, Kanaani, Khalilzadeh, Mohammadi; Noorafkan, Ezatolahi; Jahanbakhsh, Ghoddos, Ghayedi; Taremi

Match facts and head-to-head

• Iran has defeated Tajikistan twice, scoring a total of 8 goals, with their last match occurring in 2012.
• Iran has won their last three matches, scoring three goals in each.
• The “Over 2.5 total goals” bet has been successful in three of Tajikistan’s last five games.

Prediction

Bookmakers favor Iran, offering odds of 1.28 for them to win. While we expect Iran to secure a victory, we predict they won’t reach three goals this time. Our choice: “Under 3.5 total goals” at odds of 1.60.