VfB Stuttgart vs. St. Pauli: Predictions , Preview, Lineups, H2h for September 20, 2025

On Friday, Matchday 4 of the German championship will feature Stuttgart hosting St. Pauli at the MHP Arena. This match is set to be competitive, as Stuttgart looks to end a disappointing run while St. Pauli aims to maintain their strong start to the season. A bet on this match appears to hold good potential for a favorable outcome.

Match preview

Stuttgart has had a rough beginning to the season, including two losses, one of which was a setback in Freiburg where they conceded three goals late in the match. Despite this, Stuttgart has been scoring, extending their streak to six consecutive Bundesliga matches. Their main concern is their poor home performance, with six losses in their last eight home games affecting team morale.

Coach Hoeneß faces some challenges with team absences: Undav and Silas are unavailable, limiting their offensive choices. However, Demirović and Leweling remain options, both capable of creating impactful moments. Stuttgart’s success will depend heavily on their ability to stay focused for the entire match.

St. Pauli, based in Hamburg, is experiencing a positive run, having achieved back-to-back wins—a rare feat for them in the Bundesliga. Under coach Blessin, the team plays aggressively, scoring at least two goals in four of their last five matches, showcasing their attacking strength. Currently, they sit in the top four of the league, boosting their confidence.

St. Pauli’s away performance has been solid, with only one defeat in their last six matches away from home, including a commendable performance against Bayern. The team knows how to tactically navigate games and capitalize on opponents’ weaknesses. In Stuttgart, they will likely focus on quick counterattacks and utilizing set pieces effectively.

Probable line-ups

• Stuttgart: Nübel, Mittelstädt, Jehl, Chabot, Vagnoman, El-Hannous, Stiller, Bouanani, Karazor, Leweling, Demirović
• St. Pauli: Vasilj, Wahl, Smith, Dźwigała, Pyrka, Sands, Sinani, Fujita, Oppie, Untonji, Pereira Lage

Match facts and head-to-head

• Stuttgart has lost 6 of their last 8 Bundesliga home matches.
• St. Pauli is unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 away league games.
• Last season, St. Pauli defeated Stuttgart 1-0 away.

Prediction

Stuttgart’s defensive issues and struggles to maintain intensity over 90 minutes are concerning, while St. Pauli knows how to secure points even when playing away. Considering the visitors’ strong form and Stuttgart’s poor home record, a challenging night is expected for the home team.