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On September 8, 2025, Israel will face Italy in the European qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. The match starts at 20:45 Central European Time. Here’s a look at the odds and the likely outcome of this important game.

Israel

The Israeli national team is in good form, having recently secured a 4-0 away win against Moldova. They currently have three wins and one loss in four matches, placing them second in their group—three points behind Norway and three ahead of Italy, who have a game in hand.

Israel’s recent performance has been strong, with just one loss and one draw in their last seven games. Five of those matches ended in victory. They previously played in the Nations League, where they finished fourth and were relegated.

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Despite their current form, Israel has struggled against Italy in past encounters. They have lost all four of their recent meetings, including two matches in the Nations League last year, which ended 2-1 and 4-1 in favor of Italy.

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Italy

Italy started their World Cup qualifying journey with a 0-3 loss to Norway. However, they bounced back, winning against Moldova 2-0 and Estonia 5-0 at home. Italy is now third in the group with 9 points and has a chance to overtake Israel in this match.

Italy also had a solid run in the Nations League, suffering just one loss to France before reaching the playoffs, where they narrowly lost to Germany in the quarterfinals.

Historically, Italy has performed well against Israel, winning six of their seven encounters, with one match ending in a draw.

Probable lineups

  • Israel: Daniel Peretz, Lemkin, Revivo, Nachmias, Dasa, Dor Peretz, Gloukh, Eliel Peretz, Biton, Solomon, Baribo.
  • Italy: Donnarumma, Bastoni, Calafiori, Di Lorenzo, Dimarco, Barella, Politano, Tonali, Zaccagni, Kean, Retegui.
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Key facts and head-to-head record

  • Israel has won 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Israel has won 3 of their last 4 home matches.
  • 4 of Israel’s last 5 matches have featured over 2.5 goals.
  • Italy is unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • 5 of Italy’s last 6 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
  • Italy has won the last 4 meetings between the teams.
  • Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
  • 3 of the last 4 encounters have had over 2.5 goals.

Israel vs Italy prediction

Italy needs to secure points against Israel to remain competitive for at least second place in the group. Given their historical dominance in these matchups and a stronger squad, Italy is expected to win this game. The predicted outcome is Italy to win, with odds of 1.46.

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