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This Sunday, the second round of European qualification for the 2026 World Cup takes place at the Stade Josy Barthel in Luxembourg, where Luxembourg will host Slovakia. We present an analysis of the expected outcome of this match.

Match Preview

Luxembourg began the qualifiers with a home loss to Northern Ireland (1-3), which was a disappointing start under new head coach Jeff Strasser. The team struggled defensively, making critical mistakes, including a red card for a defender and conceding a goal shortly after halftime.

Even with promising young talents like 16-year-old Enzo Duarte and reliable forwards Dardari and Sinani, Luxembourg faces challenges in qualification tournaments. The team is currently on an eight-match winless streak, and against skilled Slovakia, their chances of earning points appear low.

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Slovakia surprised everyone in the opening round by defeating Germany (2-0) at home. Strong defensive performance, proactive midfield play, and effective scoring helped Francesco Calzona’s team secure this impressive win.

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Following a tough start to 2025 with four winless games, this victory has significantly boosted Slovakia’s confidence. They are now focused on maintaining their group lead and are expected to perform well in Luxembourg, where they previously won 4-0 in qualification two decades ago.

Probable Lineups

  • Luxembourg: Moris; Jans, Selimovic, Mahmutovic, Carlson; Olesen, Barreiro; Sanchez, Sinani, Bonert; Dardari
  • Slovakia: Dubravka; Ghember, Satka, Skriniar, Hancko; Duda, Lobotka, Benes; Duris, Strelec, Zaur

Match Facts and Head-to-Head

  • Slovakia defeated Germany 2-0 in their opening qualifier.
  • Luxembourg has not won in their last eight official matches.
  • Slovakia’s last match in Luxembourg ended with a 4-0 victory.
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Prediction

Slovakia has entered the tournament with confidence, especially after their strong performance against Germany. Given Luxembourg’s recent struggles, Slovakia is favored to win this match, with odds of 1.74.


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