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This Sunday, the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in Istanbul will host a key match in the second round of the 2026 World Cup European qualifiers, with Turkey facing Spain. Here’s a look at the expected outcome of this important game.

Match Preview

Turkey began the qualifiers with a 3-2 victory over Georgia. They led 3-0 but lost concentration towards the end and barely held on for the win. Players like Aktürkoğlu and Güler shone in that match and are likely to start again.

Turkey’s confidence has grown after their Euro 2024 campaign, but their consistency is still in question. They often struggle against stronger teams, particularly due to defensive mistakes. Playing at home against the group favorites, Turkey will aim for at least a draw.

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Spain started their qualifiers strongly, defeating Bulgaria 3-0. La Roja controlled the game completely, with goals from Mikel Oyarzabal, Cucurella, and Merino. Spain is expected to be the group leader.

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Yamal is recovering from a minor injury and is likely to be fit for the match. Under Luis de la Fuente, Spain has a deep and talented squad, making them a tough opponent. A victory in Istanbul would nearly guarantee their spot in the World Cup.

Probable Lineups

  • Turkey: Çakır; Müldür, Demiral, Bardakcı, Elmalı; Çalhanoğlu, Yüksek; Akgün, Güler, Yıldız; Aktürkoğlu
  • Spain: Simón; Porro, Le Normand, Höjlund, Cucurella; Merino, Zubimendi, Pedri; Yamal, Oyarzabal, N. Williams

Match Facts and Head-to-Head

  • Turkey has only defeated Spain twice, with their last win over 50 years ago.
  • Spain has won the last three encounters with a total score of 9-1.
  • Since March 2022, Turkey has not lost a competitive home match by more than one goal.
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Prediction

Turkey has the potential to challenge, especially at home. However, Spain’s strength in depth and talent gives them the upper hand. Our prediction for the match: Spain to win at odds of 1.62.


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